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California is already over $1 Billion in the red

October 9, 2009

Macro Trends and Analysis

schwarzenegger1California’s Budget is only 10 weeks old and revenue is already more than $1 Billion short.

This should come as a surprise to no one.

California’s Budget was passed with smoke-and-mirrors financing and overly optimistic projections. Without huge federal aid, expect much more pain to come for state employees and those that depend on Government programs.

From The Office of California State Controller John Chaing

SACRAMENTO – State Controller John Chiang today released his monthly report covering California’s cash balance, receipts and disbursements in September. For the first three months of the fiscal year, total General Fund revenue was nearly $1.1 billion below the recently amended 2009-10 Budget Act estimates.

“Revenues more than $1 billion under estimates and recent adverse court rulings are dealing a major blow to a budget that is barely 10-weeks old,” said Controller Chiang. “While there are encouraging signs that California’s economy is preparing for a comeback, the recession continues to drag State revenues down. I urge lawmakers and the Governor to prepare for more difficult decisions ahead.”

The State’s three largest sources of revenue fell below estimates for the month of September. When adjusted to account for payments made in September that were previously delayed or issued as Registered Warrants in July and August, personal income tax revenues for the month were $934 million below estimates (-17.3%), corporate taxes were down $183 million (-10.5%), and sales taxes came in $99.8 million lower than expected (-4.5%).

The State started the fiscal year with an $11.9 billion cash deficit in the General Fund, which grew to $16.2 billion by September 30. Those deficits are being covered with a combination of $7.3 billion of internal borrowing from special funds and $8.8 billion in short-term revenue anticipation notes.

We’ve already had to borrow $16.2 Billion?

This is not going to end well.

About Greg Fielding

I am a longtime real estate agent who has pretty much seen it all during the housing boom as bust. With experience in selling high-end property and low-end foreclosures, raw land, short sales, development work, apartment buildings, and working with investors, I bring a well-rounded perspective to my work. I cover most of Northern Alameda County and Western Contra Costa county and I live in Danville with my three kids. You can reach me at gregpfielding@gmail.com or call me at 925-212-2908

View all posts by Greg Fielding

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