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Bay Area Homes See Continued Price Improvement

December 17, 2009

Housing Data

Bay Area Home Sales and Prices Continue to Rise.

From DataQuick News reports Bay Area home sales and median price top last year again

The median price paid for a Bay Area home rose above the year-ago level for the second consecutive month, a reflection of widening price stability, fewer foreclosures selling and more activity in pricier areas. Sales dipped below October but were higher than a year earlier for the 15th consecutive month, a real estate information service reported.

The median price paid for all new and resale houses and condos that closed escrow in the nine-county Bay Area last month was $387,000. That was down 0.8 percent from $390,000 in October but up 10.6 percent from $350,000 in November 2008, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.

Prior to its 4 percent annual gain in October this year, the median sale price hadn’t risen on a year-over-year basis since November 2007, when it gained 1.5 percent. Last month’s median was 33.4 percent higher than this year’s low point – $290,000 in March – but was still 41.8 percent lower than the $665,000 peak reached in June and July of 2007.

“The latest stats show just how much the Bay Area market has changed in a year,” said John Walsh, MDA DataQuick president. “Financial distress is still a problem with many borrowers, but for now cheap foreclosures have lost their leading role in this housing drama. In the short run, we’ll be comparing the new data to some ridiculously low median sale prices a year earlier – medians severely skewed back then by so many inland foreclosures selling, and so few coastal high-end sales.”

“Statistical quirks aside, the longer-term outlook for home values is far from clear,” he continued. “A lot of people sense lenders are holding back, and that there’s at least one more round of foreclosures lurking around the corner. Combine that with less government stimulus in 2010, and it would threaten whatever price stability we see now.”

A total of 6,878 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow in the nine-county Bay Area last month. That was down 13.3 percent from 7,933 sales in October but up 19.5 percent from 5,756 sales in November 2008. A decline in sales between October and November is normal.

Foreclosure resales – homes sold in November that had been foreclosed on in the prior 12 months – made up 32.5 percent of all resale activity. That was up from 31.3 percent in October but down from 46.8 percent in November 2008. Foreclosure resales peaked at 52 percent of resales in February this year.

The recent decline in foreclosure resales follows a generally downward trend this year in the number of homes being foreclosed on. It’s mainly because lenders and loan servicers have increasingly pursued short sales and loan modifications as an alternative to the costly foreclosure process. The declining inventory of lower-cost foreclosures has been key to stabilizing the housing market, along with the federal government’s efforts to boost housing demand through lower mortgage rates, tax incentives and plentiful, low-down-payment FHA financing.

Federally-insured FHA loans, a popular choice among first-time buyers, made up 26.3 percent of all Bay Area purchase loans last month. That was up from 25.4 percent in October, 19.7 percent a year ago and less than 0.5 percent two years ago.

Meanwhile, the availability of financing for pricier homes has improved modestly in recent months, though such “jumbo” loans remain relatively expensive and difficult to obtain.

Mortgages above $417,000 – formerly the definition of a jumbo loan – made up 29.5 percent of all home purchase loans last month. That was down from 30.9 percent in October but up from 24.0 percent a year ago. More than 60 percent of purchase loans were over $417,000 before the August 2007 credit crunch hit.

12-17-2009 3-26-08 PM

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About Greg Fielding

I am a longtime real estate agent who has pretty much seen it all during the housing boom as bust. With experience in selling high-end property and low-end foreclosures, raw land, short sales, development work, apartment buildings, and working with investors, I bring a well-rounded perspective to my work. I cover most of Northern Alameda County and Western Contra Costa county and I live in Danville with my three kids. You can reach me at gregpfielding@gmail.com or call me at 925-212-2908

View all posts by Greg Fielding

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