Of course this hotel was going to default

July 1, 2010

Banking and Finance

There is an article in today’s Contra Costa Times about the Doubletree Berkeley Marina Hotel defaulting on a $160M loan. What caught my eye was that the hotel has 387 rooms.

That works out to about $242,000 in loans per room. If we figure 6% interest, amortized over 25 years (but due in 10), that’s about $1,560 per month just in financing costs.

Hotel occupancy rates have been awful. This chart from Calculated Risk shows that hotels, have generally been just over half-full, over the course of a year.

And, it appears that Berkeley hotels may be getting hit even harder than the rest of the country. From the article:

Still, hotel revenues generated by the entire lodging industry in Berkeley have ebbed lately, city documents show.

For the nine months from July 2009 through March 2010, transient occupancy taxes totaled $2.6 million, down 6.3 percent from the same nine-month period the year before, a May 2010 report by the city manager disclosed.

“Hotels in Berkeley have been hit by the economy like every city,” said Barbara Hillman, president of the Berkeley Convention & Visitors Bureau. “Our average room rate is down 22 percent.”

They’re competing in some instances with San Francisco hotels that have slashed rates to $140 a night.

So, let’s figure our room is occupied 18 days per month and has financing costs of $1,560 per month. That’s about $90 per occupied night. Unfortunately, the nightly rates don’t seem to be that much higher. A standard room with a kind bed looks to run about $119 per night, without any discounts or promotions. Yikes…that’s not a lot left over for payroll, taxes, insurance, utilities, etc…

No wonder the place is in default. I’m surprised anyone ever thought that would work.

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About Greg Fielding

I am a longtime real estate agent who has pretty much seen it all during the housing boom as bust. With experience in selling high end property and low end foreclosures, raw land, short sales, development work, apartment buildings, and working with investors, I bring a well-rounded perspective to my work. I have been featured in The New York Times, The Big Picture, Seeking Alpha, Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis, and am a regularly featured on Patrick.net. In addition to selling real estate, I have also done industry training and consulting work with ForeclosureRadar. I cover most of Alameda and Contra Costa counties and I live in Danville with my three kids.

View all posts by Greg Fielding

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