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A disturbing situation for homeowners

January 30, 2012

Macro Trends and Analysis

This morning on KQED Public Radio, NPR gave a disturbing report about FreddieMac and U.S. homeowner’s, including Bay Area homeowner’s, ability today to refinance their home mortgages.  NPR said FreddieMac, a pseudo-federal government agency that helps U.S. residents from all across the nation buy homes, is betting homeowners won’t be able to refinance in the existing housing market.  And FreddieMac will profit from the inability of homeowners to refinance.

NPR said one of the reasons Freddie has an incentive to bet against homeowners is the agency has sold off the principal of many or all of the mortgages it holds; the agency will only make money on the interest on the mortgages.  So if homeowners pay less interest, the agency makes less money.

The report did say that Freddie needs to make money because the agency was bailed out by the federal government in the housing recession/depression.  So the money it makes will help keep the agency solvent, or perhaps help it pay back some of the money the federal government used to bail it out.

But, U.S. citizens may be better off on the whole if the agency makes it easier to refinance.  The agency may make less money in the short-term as people refinance at lower interest rates.  But in the longer-term, FreddieMac will make more money as less homeowners default on the mortgages.  Less people will default because refinancing a home loan at a lower interest rate reduces a homeowner’s monthly mortgage payment.  One homeowner NPR interviewed would save $500.00 per month on their monthly mortgage payment by refinancing in today’s market.

If FreddieMac has an incentive to keep homeowners from refinancing because the agency will gain from doing so, this is a disturbing situation.

About Keith Burbank

Keith earned a master's degree in economics in 1995, and since then has worked as an economist in consulting, journalism, college teaching, and government. Most recently, Keith spent five years as an economist and lead benefit-cost analyst with FEMA on $350 million worth of mitigation grants to the State of Florida after four hurricanes in 2004 and three more hurricanes in 2005 ravaged the state. FEMA hired Keith as the first economist for disaster field work. Since that time, Utah State University admitted him to its PhD program in applied economics, but he hopes to complete his studies at the University of California at Berkeley in behavioral economics and international development and trade.

View all posts by Keith Burbank

One Comment on “A disturbing situation for homeowners”

  1. mikewilliamsen Says:

    I am not concerned or fearful that banks, regulators, or especially pseudo-federal government agencies (I love that term, Keith,) ever making sense, or even mistakenly casting a shadow of common sense. Try deep-breathing.

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